Mrs. B is
ready to start trading commodities. She enters her futures
trading program educated primarily as a stock market investor.
She has read a little about futures, has spoken with a few people
and is on pretty good terms with her futures broker. As she
begins her trading, she is willing to share a few of her thoughts
with you,
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She is giving herself plenty of time to make a profit
from her futures trading. Since the results she
achieves in futures will be compared to the results she
achieves by having one-half her money out at interest, she
has until December 31st, 2001, to make this
comparison. This gives her a full eleven months to try to
earn a profit from her futures program.
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Mrs. B has read that it is quite possible to lose money
when trading in futures and options. She is well aware
of this. She has signed all the necessary disclosure
agreements that her broker has provided her with and she
knows the risks that are involved when she makes the
decision to commit $5,000 of her risk capital to futures
trading.
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Well before she begins trading, Mrs. B has come to the
conclusion that to succeed in the futures market she will
have to become self-reliant. She believes she will be
unable to depend on any one person to make her successful.
This is a carryover conclusion from her years of trading in
the stock market where self-reliance was an important
characteristic of Mrs. B.
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In this effort to become self-reliant, Mrs. B is willing
to "look the fool" at any time to
anyone who examines her trading methods or her trading
style. She has concluded that the route to financial
success is most likely a path not well traveled and if
others think her foolish for using strange trading or
investing methods, this doesn't bother her one bit. She
believes that most people who become self-reliant and
successful probably seemed strange to others from time to
time.
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Mrs. B does not plan to be pushed or coerced into trades
by anyone. She calculates that if she doesn't make a
single trade all year long she will at least break even.
Breaking even is better than losing money, sometimes a lot
better. If someone suggests to Mrs. B that she should
overtrade or trade markets when she is not ready for them,
she will thank that person for the advice and then return
to her own self-reliant foolish method of investing which
never involves overtrading.
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Mrs. B has a long-term outlook. She wants to succeed
long-term. She wants to succeed in 2001 and 2002 and 2003
and 2023. She wants to end up with a trading method to pass
onto her children. It is, therefore, this desire to succeed
over the long-term that forces her to evaluate every
trading method with regard to how that method works over
the long-term. Buying on Monday and selling on Friday may
work next week but it will never be a reliable trading
method for the long-term. Therefore, she will reject that
method of investing along with many others.
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Mrs. B also does not plan to use
any moving averages when trading commodity futures.
While it is true that she did use moving averages when
trading in the stock market, as illustrated in lessons 18
and 19, she does not plan to use moving averages for
trading commodity futures. She will explain why a little
later on as these lessons progress.
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Mrs. B does plan, however, to use robots in her
trading. In fact, she will use them all the
time. Of course, she could use pawns or she could use
soldiers or she could use human sacrifices, but she prefers
to use robots. Her robots even have names. She will
tell you the names of these robots from time to time as she
makes use of them in her trading plan.
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Mrs. B wants to succeed. To succeed she believes she
will have to identify the source of any trading suggestion
she receives. She believes that she will have to tag each
source of information as adequate-useful or as
inadequate-not useful. She believes that only by this
method can she ever become a self-reliant and successful
futures trader.
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Finally, Mrs. B accepts all markets for trading. She
will trade any market at any time as long as that market
meets her conditions for trading. She will not trade all
markets at all times but she may trade any market at any
time. She is both predictable and unpredictable.
Predictable in that she will trade any given market,
unpredictable in that only Mrs. B and her robots know
precisely when she will make her move.